StockStory Identifies One S&P 500 Stock to Buy and Two to Avoid

March 22, 2026

The S&P 500 (^GSPC), encompassing many of the world’s largest and most recognized companies, remains a popular index for investors seeking stability and exposure to a diversified portfolio. However, not all stocks within this index perform equally well. Several large-cap companies are currently grappling with issues such as slowing growth rates, declining profit margins, or increased competition, requiring a more discerning approach to stock selection. StockStory provides a framework for identifying potentially promising investments within the S&P 500, and for spotting companies facing challenges. This analysis highlights two S&P 500 stocks that may be underperforming and one that appears poised for stronger returns.

Two Stocks To Sell: Carrier Global (CARR)

Carrier Global (NYSE: CARR), founded by the inventor of air conditioning, is a manufacturer specializing in heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration products. The company’s recent performance raises concerns. Over the past two years, organic sales growth has been insufficient, indicating a possible need for strategic adjustments or reliance on mergers and acquisitions to spur more robust growth. The company’s capital intensity has increased significantly over the last five years, accompanied by a decrease in its free cash flow margin, dropping by 5.3 percentage points. This suggests that rising competition is negatively impacting the company’s profitability. Currently, Carrier Global’s stock price stands at $59.29, reflecting a valuation ratio of 17.9x forward P/E. Those interested in deeper insight into why CARR may not meet investment criteria can review our free in-depth research report.

CSX (CSX)

CSX (NASDAQ: CSX), originally formed from the merger of Chessie System and Seaboard Coast Line Industries, operates as a transportation company specializing in freight rail services. Recent performance also presents vulnerabilities. Sales volume has remained flat over the past two years, suggesting the need for strategic investments and operational improvements to revitalize the company’s trajectory. The company’s earnings per share have fallen by 8.4% annually over the past two years, and its free cash flow margin decreased by 21.5 percentage points over the last five years. This indicates growing capital intensity as competition intensified. Currently trading at $34.12 per share, with a 18.9x forward P/E ratio, CSX warrants careful consideration. A free research report is available to further illuminate potential risks associated with this stock.

One Stock To Watch: Qualcomm (QCOM)

Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM) has been a leader in developing standards for cellular connectivity for over four decades and is a fabless manufacturer of wireless technology chips used in smartphones, automobiles, and Internet of Things appliances. The company’s performance demonstrates significant growth potential. Annual revenue growth has reached 16.6% over the last five years, reflecting an increase in market share. Its strong free cash flow profitability allows the company to fund new investments or reward investors through share buybacks or dividend payments. The Return on Capital Invested (ROIC) stands at 51.2%, highlighting management’s ability to identify profitable investments. Currently trading at $169.02 per share with a 14.5x forward P/E ratio, Qualcomm presents a compelling investment opportunity. Investors can review our in-depth research report to determine if now is the right time to initiate a position.

Stocks We Like Even More

The market reaction to President Trump’s aggressive tariff plan in April 2025 initially triggered a decline as investors anticipated a full-blown trade war. However, this initial panic was short-lived, as the market subsequently rebounded, erasing most of the losses. Strategic investors who avoided selling during this volatile period have benefited from this recovery. Consider exploring the “Top 5 Strong Momentum Stocks for this Week,” a curated list of high-quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st, 2025). Stocks like Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) and Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return) demonstrated exceptional performance during this period. Investing through StockStory provides access to strategies that target outperforming equities.

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